Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.002244 0.002406 0.002573 0.002761 0.002966 0.003182 0.003428
2024-12-15 0.002021 0.002248 0.002495 0.002784 0.003114 0.003481 0.003920
2024-12-22 0.001858 0.002129 0.002435 0.002806 0.003246 0.003756 0.004394
2024-12-29 0.001709 0.002007 0.002353 0.002786 0.003318 0.003955 0.004784
2025-01-05 0.001592 0.001909 0.002286 0.002772 0.003387 0.004147 0.005169
2025-01-12 0.001475 0.001800 0.002196 0.002718 0.003395 0.004256 0.005449
2025-01-19 0.001388 0.001722 0.002137 0.002695 0.003438 0.004405 0.005785
2025-01-26 0.001276 0.001604 0.002018 0.002586 0.003356 0.004382 0.005881
2025-02-02 0.001248 0.001593 0.002035 0.002654 0.003513 0.004686 0.006447
2025-02-09 0.001214 0.001570 0.002035 0.002697 0.003636 0.004947 0.006968
2025-02-16 0.001209 0.001586 0.002086 0.002813 0.003865 0.005370 0.007757
2025-02-23 0.001164 0.001543 0.002054 0.002809 0.003921 0.005543 0.008176
2025-03-02 0.001108 0.001488 0.002009 0.002790 0.003965 0.005719 0.008644
2025-03-09 0.001057 0.001437 0.001966 0.002773 0.004012 0.005904 0.009144
2025-03-16 0.001016 0.001399 0.001938 0.002777 0.004089 0.006141 0.009752
2025-03-23 0.000970 0.001349 0.001892 0.002749 0.004116 0.006297 0.010234
2025-03-30 0.000930 0.001307 0.001855 0.002732 0.004156 0.006477 0.010773
2025-04-06 0.000883 0.001253 0.001796 0.002677 0.004131 0.006544 0.011114
2025-04-13 0.000848 0.001214 0.001758 0.002654 0.004156 0.006697 0.011624
2025-04-20 0.000794 0.001146 0.001671 0.002547 0.004032 0.006582 0.011616
2025-04-27 0.000786 0.001145 0.001691 0.002614 0.004209 0.007010 0.012696
2025-05-04 0.000772 0.001136 0.001696 0.002656 0.004345 0.007374 0.013685
2025-05-11 0.000774 0.001153 0.001742 0.002769 0.004614 0.008004 0.015287